Texas A&M vs. Murray State Odds: 2022 Myrtle Beach Invitational Picks, CBB Predictions from Proven Model

The 2022 Myrtle Beach Invitational opens Thursday with a quadruple header of college basketball action. In the second game of the day, the Texas A&M Aggies take on the Murray State Racers. Texas A&M is 2-0 this season with wins over Louisiana-Monroe and Abilene Christian. Murray State is 1-1 this season after a 31-win season in 2021-22.

Tip-off is at 4 p.m. ET in Conway, SC Caesars Sportsbook lists the Aggies as 12.5-point favorites while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, is 138 in recent Murray State vs. Texas is A&M odds. Before you hit any Texas A&M vs. Murray State tips, be sure to check out College Basketball Predictions and Betting Advice from SportsLine’s Trusted Computer Model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates each Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive $1,200+ win for $100 players with its top-flight college basketball picks against the spread.

Now the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. Murray State and just laid out its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the selection. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Murray State vs. Texas A&M:

  • Spread between Texas A&M and Murray State: Texas A&M -12.5
  • Texas A&M vs. Murray State Over/Under: 138 points
  • Money line between Texas A&M and Murray State: Texas A&M -900, Murray State +600
  • MSU: The Racers have been on neutral side 3-4 against the spread for the past seven games
  • TAMU: The Aggies are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games on neutral side
  • Texas A&M vs. Murray State Picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Texas A&M Aggies vs. Murray State Racers

Why Murray State can cover

Murray State should be able to take advantage of Texas A&M’s sub-par ball security. The Aggies commit 22.7% of offensive possession turnover and have one of the worst live ball turnover rates (14.4%) in the country. Texas A&M also shoots just 67.9% from the free throw line, and Murray State is above average in free throw prevention. Opponents are only shooting from 3-point range 32.3% against Murray State, and the Racers have strengths on offense.

Murray State’s turnover rate ranks among the top 35 in the country at 13.5%, and only 2.5% of the team’s shots were blocked early in the season. Murray State is also above average at creating free throws, and Texas A&M is below average at stopping free throw attempts on defense. Texas A&M also has a meager 8.2% blocking rate on defense.

Why Texas A&M can cover

Texas A&M’s statistical profile is very impressive so far. On offense, the Aggies rank in the top 25 in the country for shooting efficiency, making 42.9% of 3-point attempts and 56.9% of 2-point attempts. Texas A&M is also in the top 20 in the nation for free throw percentage, and the Aggies are creating extra chances with an offensive rebound rate of 34.9%. Murray State forces turnover on just 12.2% of defensive holdings, outside of the top 300 nationally, and the Racers have ugly rates on blocks (4.7%) and steals (4.1%).

The Racers also underperform on defensive rebounding and 2-point defense, with Texas A&M bringing superior overall defense to this matchup. The Aggies are in the top 25 in the country for adjusted defensive efficiency, and opponents are shooting just 35.6% on 2-point shots against Texas A&M. Texas A&M secures nearly 76% of available defensive rebounds, and Murray State is poor on offense and at assist generation.

How to make Murray State vs. Texas A&M picks

SportsLine’s model tilts across the total, projecting 141 combined points. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in well over 50% of the simulations. You can see the selection here.

So who will win Texas A&M vs. Murray State? And which side of the spread applies in well over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread to jump on, all from the model who crushed his college basketball picks and find out.