College basketball odds, tips and predictions

North Texas vs Saint Mary’s Odds

Saint Mary’s have made it their mission to establish themselves as the top mid-major to start the season. Now 2-0 with victories over Oral Roberts and Vermont, the Gaels are turning their attention to North Texas.

Those victories over Oral Roberts and Vermont seemed like no-doubters most of the time; I was on the wrong side of both.

I can’t stress enough how impressive St. Mary’s defense was in the first two games. Against two teams known for their offensive firepower, the Gaels seemed to have an answer at every turn.

The story will be similar when it comes to North Texas, another strong mid-major. However, there is a big difference between what Saint Mary’s saw in their first two games and what they will see from the Mean Green.

North Texas can keep up with their defensive pressure, but will that be enough to get past those rolling Gaels?

North Texas played their first game against a Division II program in Southern Nazarene, so there wasn’t much to take away other than the fact that they only won by six.

But I wouldn’t read much into it; Southern Nazarene is a strong D2 school, while I think being North Texas’ first game of the season was definitely a factor.

The important thing here is that Rubin Jones didn’t play for Mean Green; He is still recovering from off-season knee surgery. North Texas was also without Tylor Perry, their top scorer from a season ago.

Grant McCasland said he broke in practice and would be back soon, but keep that headline in the Gaels’ game in mind.

While Perry and Jones are Mean Green’s top scorers, others have risen in their absence and avoided losing to a Division II team, but I don’t think they’ll be able to compete without the two to deal with the Gaels.

I don’t expect Jones to be back for the St. Mary’s game as he will likely miss most of the start of the season. But with all due respect, if Perry doesn’t start for the Mean Green I don’t see a chance against the Gaels. Keep an eye out for updates on its status.

Max Abmas, one of college basketball’s most dynamic scorers; didn’t matter. The Catamounts with the addition of Dylan Penn; didn’t matter.

This Gael Defense is real. And while it’s among the best year after year and it’s still early days, this could be one of the top 10 defensive teams in the country.

The St. Mary’s defense is their best quality, but their ability to slow the pace of a game to a halt complements this defense so well.

They are by no means lacking in attack, being in the starting XI with four players averaging double figures in their first two games. The Gaels also rarely make mistakes on offense, turning the ball over only 9.8% of possession.

Against the Mean Green they also have a serious edge on the fringes as they have the 75th best squad when it comes to average size.

North Texas vs Saint Mary’s Betting Tip

If Tylor Perry doesn’t play, it could easily be another 20-plus point win for the Gaels like they did against Vermont. If he’s in the lineup, North Texas has a much better chance against Saint Mary’s, but I think the outcome will be the same.

No line is known yet, but assuming Tylor Perry is playing I think St Mary’s opens around a 7-point favorite and I’d back them as high as a 10-point favorite. Again, keep an eye out for news about Perry; If anything concrete comes out about his being out, I’ll be strong on Saint Mary’s.

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